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Red29
656021.3
312817.9
44008.8
Blue69
80067.8
441528.2
441442.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434102060801002969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.31.3
16.415.1
Auto7.5
Teleop10.1
End3.7
blue by 21.5
42.83.3
21.024.3
Auto14.5
Teleop21.8
End6.5
Second
3128
#13
17.91.3
15.113.9
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End5.9
blue by 10.3
28.23.3
13.617.0
Auto7.8
Teleop11.1
End9.3
Third
4400
#26
8.81.3
8.97.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End0.9
red by 1.0
8006
#14
7.83.3
4.47.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsMissed