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Final 22022 Carver Division
Red122
60445.7
415322.8
132365.5
Blue121
402843.9
169064.8
113819.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451366080100120160180200122121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#3
65.50.5
66.0→65.5
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End12.1
red by 0.7
1690
#4
64.80.2
65.0→64.8
Auto17.2
Teleop39.2
End8.5
Second
604
#1
45.70.5
46.2→45.7
Auto11.9
Teleop21.8
End12.0
red by 1.8
4028
#23
43.90.2
44.1→43.9
Auto12.3
Teleop20.9
End10.7
Third
4153
#51
22.80.5
23.2→22.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End10.1
red by 3.0
1138
#53
19.80.2
20.0→19.8
Auto7.8
Teleop4.7
End7.3