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Quarterfinal 3-22022 Carver Division
Red143
642140.5
87043.9
179636.0
Blue158
353634.7
572738.9
19537.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128117050100150200250143158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#2
43.90.5
43.4→43.9
Auto9.2
Teleop26.1
End8.6
red by 5.1
5727
#22
38.90.9
39.1→40.0
Auto6.2
Teleop23.7
End9.0
Second
6421
#39
40.50.5
39.9→40.5
Auto10.2
Teleop19.3
End10.9
red by 3.1
195
#14
37.30.9
37.6→38.4
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End10.7
Third
1796
#47
36.00.5
35.4→36.0
Auto12.0
Teleop20.8
End3.2
red by 1.3
3536
#9
34.70.9
34.3→35.2
Auto11.3
Teleop14.8
End8.6