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Red82
264235.1
874810.1
636424.9
Blue71
533818.9
663722.0
573526.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7169506080908271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#26
35.11.0
33.734.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.9
End12.2
red by 9.1
5735
#67
26.00.4
24.224.5
Auto8.7
Teleop8.9
End8.4
Second
6364
#20
24.91.0
23.624.6
Auto7.7
Teleop7.5
End9.8
red by 2.9
6637
#62
22.00.4
21.922.3
Auto6.9
Teleop6.5
End8.6
Third
8748
#70
10.11.0
9.510.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End-0.0
blue by 8.8
5338
#54
18.90.4
19.119.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsEarned73%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned