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Red111
636424.9
245137.8
107332.2
Blue71
884911.2
519940.6
360326.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103835015011171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#34
37.80.3
37.537.8
Auto12.4
Teleop19.3
End6.2
blue by 2.8
5199
#35
40.60.6
41.641.0
Auto8.1
Teleop22.9
End9.6
Second
1073
#40
32.20.3
31.832.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.7
End7.7
red by 6.1
3603
#63
26.10.6
26.726.1
Auto5.4
Teleop16.2
End4.5
Third
6364
#20
24.90.3
24.624.9
Auto7.7
Teleop7.5
End9.8
red by 13.8
8849
#56
11.20.6
11.811.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned