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Red124
19537.3
245137.8
321830.2
Blue87
150236.3
113819.8
263728.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1148520406010014016012487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#34
37.81.1
40.741.9
Auto12.4
Teleop19.3
End6.2
red by 1.5
1502
#55
36.30.2
32.933.2
Auto8.1
Teleop19.5
End8.7
Second
195
#14
37.31.1
34.635.7
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End10.7
red by 8.7
2637
#43
28.60.2
28.528.8
Auto9.2
Teleop12.5
End7.0
Third
3218
#36
30.21.1
27.828.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End11.9
red by 10.4
1138
#53
19.80.2
21.822.0
Auto7.8
Teleop4.7
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned69%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned