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Red81
262617.2
519940.6
162219.5
Blue95
415911.2
150236.3
179636.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76940501502008195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#35
40.60.2
40.540.7
Auto8.1
Teleop22.9
End9.6
red by 4.3
1502
#55
36.30.3
33.233.5
Auto8.1
Teleop19.5
End8.7
Second
1622
#72
19.50.2
17.417.7
Auto6.7
Teleop3.7
End9.1
blue by 16.5
1796
#47
36.00.3
44.044.3
Auto12.0
Teleop20.8
End3.2
Third
2626
#57
17.20.3
15.615.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End8.0
red by 6.0
4159
#45
11.20.3
8.99.3
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed73%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned68%Hangar oddsMissed