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Red99
69520.8
169064.8
717412.2
Blue128
113819.8
107332.2
132365.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041305015020099128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.80.4
68.868.4
Auto17.2
Teleop39.2
End8.5
blue by 0.7
65.50.4
69.670.0
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End12.1
Second
695
#38
20.80.4
18.017.6
Auto6.4
Teleop8.4
End5.9
blue by 11.4
1073
#40
32.20.4
28.528.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.7
End7.7
Third
7174
#64
12.20.4
14.113.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End2.0
blue by 7.6
1138
#53
19.80.4
20.621.0
Auto7.8
Teleop4.7
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned