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Red99
129629.2
5934.8
360326.1
Blue90
802019.2
873811.6
1641.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105600501502009990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#8
34.80.4
33.534.0
Auto9.6
Teleop15.9
End9.3
blue by 6.9
16
#18
41.71.9
38.640.5
Auto9.0
Teleop22.9
End9.8
Second
1296
#28
29.20.4
28.529.0
Auto12.4
Teleop13.3
End3.6
red by 10.0
8020
#27
19.21.9
17.419.2
Auto6.5
Teleop4.7
End8.0
Third
3603
#63
26.10.4
30.631.0
Auto5.4
Teleop16.2
End4.5
red by 14.5
8738
#71
11.61.9
6.07.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned36%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned