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Red121
111445.3
179636.0
642140.5
Blue106
651026.5
245137.8
188531.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1439750200121106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.8
47.546.7
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End8.9
red by 7.5
2451
#34
37.80.6
43.243.8
Auto12.4
Teleop19.3
End6.2
Second
6421
#39
40.50.8
36.936.1
Auto10.2
Teleop19.3
End10.9
red by 8.8
1885
#41
31.70.6
30.931.5
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End11.6
Third
1796
#47
36.00.8
44.343.5
Auto12.0
Teleop20.8
End3.2
red by 9.5
6510
#52
26.50.6
22.823.4
Auto7.5
Teleop8.6
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned