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Red130
60445.7
87043.9
98748.3
Blue118
162219.5
107332.2
129629.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16268050100150200250130118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#10
48.30.7
47.647.0
Auto13.3
Teleop21.9
End13.0
red by 16.1
1073
#40
32.22.3
28.831.1
Auto8.7
Teleop15.7
End7.7
Second
604
#1
45.70.7
45.845.1
Auto11.9
Teleop21.8
End12.0
red by 16.5
1296
#28
29.22.3
29.031.3
Auto12.4
Teleop13.3
End3.6
Third
870
#2
43.90.7
46.846.1
Auto9.2
Teleop26.1
End8.6
red by 24.4
1622
#72
19.52.3
17.720.0
Auto6.7
Teleop3.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsEarned