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Red99
572738.9
463542.2
459816.4
Blue120
17951.2
212917.7
519940.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9112405015020099120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#25
42.20.6
42.843.4
Auto8.2
Teleop23.6
End10.4
blue by 9.0
179
#13
51.20.5
55.055.5
Auto15.7
Teleop25.0
End10.5
Second
5727
#22
38.90.6
33.634.2
Auto6.2
Teleop23.7
End9.0
blue by 1.7
5199
#35
40.60.5
40.941.4
Auto8.1
Teleop22.9
End9.6
Third
4598
#48
16.40.6
13.113.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.2
End5.5
blue by 1.3
2129
#58
17.70.5
16.517.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsMissed