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Red83
412518.3
328427.1
300813.5
Blue125
873811.6
642140.5
60445.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50102015083125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#21
27.11.7
21.122.8
Auto8.4
Teleop14.4
End4.2
blue by 18.6
604
#1
45.72.1
45.147.2
Auto11.9
Teleop21.8
End12.0
Second
4125
#75
18.31.7
20.622.3
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End1.5
blue by 22.2
6421
#39
40.52.1
36.138.2
Auto10.2
Teleop19.3
End10.9
Third
3008
#46
13.51.7
12.113.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End4.0
red by 1.9
8738
#71
11.62.1
7.910.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsEarned