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Red56
179636.0
602412.4
463542.2
Blue98
533818.9
69520.8
204650.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11691501001502005698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#25
42.23.3
43.840.5
Auto8.2
Teleop23.6
End10.4
blue by 8.2
50.40.6
51.151.8
Auto13.7
Teleop27.1
End9.6
Second
1796
#47
36.03.3
42.839.4
Auto12.0
Teleop20.8
End3.2
red by 15.2
695
#38
20.80.6
19.019.6
Auto6.4
Teleop8.4
End5.9
Third
6024
#59
12.43.3
19.015.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.3
End4.3
blue by 6.5
5338
#54
18.90.6
18.619.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsMissed84%Hangar oddsEarned