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Red90
353634.7
636424.9
212917.7
Blue54
271812.6
705424.3
873811.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815202040601001201401609054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.9
33.434.4
Auto11.3
Teleop14.8
End8.6
red by 10.4
7054
#65
24.30.1
26.826.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End9.9
Second
6364
#20
24.90.9
22.723.6
Auto7.7
Teleop7.5
End9.8
red by 12.3
2718
#74
12.60.1
14.414.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End4.8
Third
2129
#58
17.70.9
16.117.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.5
End6.0
red by 6.0
8738
#71
11.60.1
11.010.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsEarned