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Red113
392833.2
519940.6
642140.5
Blue108
415322.8
261136.8
691934.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12899406080120140160180200113108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#35
40.60.5
42.842.3
Auto8.1
Teleop22.9
End9.6
red by 3.8
2611
#32
36.80.2
36.837.0
Auto9.7
Teleop16.6
End10.5
Second
6421
#39
40.50.5
41.741.2
Auto10.2
Teleop19.3
End10.9
red by 5.8
6919
#60
34.60.2
36.636.9
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End6.5
Third
3928
#17
33.20.5
31.731.2
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End4.8
red by 10.4
4153
#51
22.80.2
23.323.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned