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Red133
60445.7
415322.8
132365.5
Blue130
98748.3
490741.9
111445.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144144130140150160170133130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.50.1
65.865.6
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End12.1
red by 17.2
987
#10
48.30.1
48.248.1
Auto13.3
Teleop21.9
End13.0
Second
604
#1
45.70.1
46.045.9
Auto11.9
Teleop21.8
End12.0
red by 0.4
45.30.1
45.245.1
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End8.9
Third
4153
#51
22.80.1
23.122.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End10.1
blue by 19.1
4907
#15
41.90.1
41.841.7
Auto9.4
Teleop21.0
End11.5