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Red78
312825.1
656028.6
800611.2
Blue30
248516.0
254312.8
585115.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654420801007830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.4
25.826.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End7.0
red by 12.6
2485
#16
16.00.4
16.115.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End8.1
Second
25.10.4
22.322.6
Auto6.6
Teleop9.9
End8.6
red by 10.0
5851
#18
15.10.4
15.214.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End8.1
Third
8006
#21
11.20.4
10.010.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.8
blue by 1.6
2543
#12
12.80.5
12.912.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End7.3