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Red60
265816.3
210221.0
81212.3
Blue65
427014.5
30207.3
388218.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53372060801006065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.3
20.320.6
Auto9.1
Teleop9.0
End2.9
red by 3.0
3882
#27
18.00.7
16.917.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End6.7
Second
2658
#11
16.30.4
15.816.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End4.6
red by 1.8
4270
#46
14.50.5
13.714.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End7.8
Third
812
#24
12.30.4
11.411.7
Auto2.7
Teleop0.6
End8.9
red by 5.0
7.30.5
6.47.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End2.1