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Red78
364724.7
325526.5
81196.2
Blue67
157212.6
119721.2
473815.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585102040801007867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.4
24.725.1
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End5.7
red by 5.3
1197
#10
21.20.4
20.821.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.5
End3.6
Second
24.70.4
22.923.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End6.6
red by 8.9
4738
#33
15.80.4
15.415.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End-0.4
Third
8119
#48
6.20.4
5.96.2
Auto1.0
Teleop5.1
End0.1
blue by 6.4
1572
#23
12.60.4
12.212.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End4.1