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Red54
699522.1
441917.6
298414.8
Blue91
153825.5
853714.7
162212.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59482040801005491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.1
21.821.7
Auto7.5
Teleop4.4
End10.1
blue by 3.5
1538
#13
25.51.0
22.923.9
Auto8.9
Teleop14.5
End2.1
Second
17.60.1
17.317.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End6.2
red by 2.8
14.70.7
12.813.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End4.0
Third
2984
#22
14.80.1
14.514.4
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End3.1
red by 2.3
1622
#43
12.60.7
10.611.3
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End6.0