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Red62
441917.6
889110.1
210221.0
Blue13
334112.3
271015.5
30207.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353210204050606213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.01.2
16.017.2
Auto9.1
Teleop9.0
End2.9
red by 5.4
2710
#34
15.51.3
14.813.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End5.1
Second
17.62.0
9.211.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End6.2
red by 5.2
3341
#20
12.31.9
9.17.2
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End7.7
Third
8891
#17
10.12.0
7.08.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End3.9
red by 2.8
7.31.1
6.14.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed