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Red47
39658.7
547411.3
30089.5
Blue14
12668.7
157212.6
66956.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2733010204050604714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5474
#30
11.30.1
8.48.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End4.3
blue by 1.3
1572
#23
12.62.2
10.78.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End4.1
Second
3008
#39
9.50.1
7.98.0
Auto3.6
Teleop1.4
End4.6
red by 0.8
1266
#36
8.72.2
9.77.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End2.3
Third
3965
#47
8.70.1
9.59.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.6
End2.3
red by 2.6
6695
#51
6.12.2
9.77.5
Auto1.6
Teleop2.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed