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Red27
30089.5
741511.9
427014.5
Blue28
37046.3
298414.8
547411.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31280102040502728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#46
14.50.1
11.711.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End7.8
blue by 0.3
2984
#22
14.80.3
8.98.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End3.1
Second
7415
#35
11.90.2
9.19.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End2.6
red by 0.6
5474
#30
11.30.3
8.58.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End4.3
Third
3008
#39
9.50.2
7.67.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.4
End4.6
red by 3.3
3704
#44
6.30.3
9.39.0
Auto1.9
Teleop0.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed