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Red43
498415.6
81196.2
853714.7
Blue28
254312.8
248516.0
153825.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294001020506070804328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4984
#15
15.60.9
15.616.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End6.9
blue by 9.9
1538
#13
25.51.4
12.210.8
Auto8.9
Teleop14.5
End2.1
Second
14.70.9
8.29.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End4.0
blue by 1.2
2485
#16
16.01.4
10.99.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End8.1
Third
8119
#48
6.21.6
5.06.5
Auto1.0
Teleop5.1
End0.1
blue by 6.5
2543
#12
12.81.4
13.211.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed