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Red31
81212.3
30207.3
491912.7
Blue30
50254.8
119721.2
39658.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23340103040506070803130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4919
#14
12.70.9
9.110.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End3.9
blue by 8.5
1197
#10
21.20.1
18.218.2
Auto7.1
Teleop10.5
End3.6
Second
812
#24
12.30.9
9.210.1
Auto2.7
Teleop0.6
End8.9
red by 3.6
3965
#47
8.70.0
8.78.7
Auto3.8
Teleop2.6
End2.3
Third
7.30.6
4.44.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End2.1
red by 2.4
5025
#41
4.80.0
3.63.5
Auto2.6
Teleop0.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed