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Red29
41143.3
12668.7
473815.8
Blue66
364724.7
325526.5
889110.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2546010203040506070802966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#33
15.80.4
14.114.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End-0.4
blue by 10.7
26.52.9
14.417.3
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End5.7
Second
1266
#36
8.70.4
6.36.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End2.3
blue by 16.0
24.72.9
17.420.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End6.6
Third
4114
#38
3.30.4
5.45.8
Auto-0.8
Teleop0.6
End3.5
blue by 6.8
8891
#17
10.12.8
8.511.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned