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Red21
9684.5
40197.4
491912.7
Blue13
81196.2
513713.7
800611.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2630010204050602113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4919
#14
12.70.9
9.99.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End3.9
blue by 1.0
5137
#25
13.71.7
12.010.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Second
4019
#26
7.40.9
8.47.5
Auto2.2
Teleop1.7
End3.4
blue by 3.8
8006
#21
11.21.0
7.86.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.8
Third
968
#50
4.50.5
6.76.2
Auto2.5
Teleop1.2
End0.8
blue by 1.8
8119
#48
6.20.2
6.26.5
Auto1.0
Teleop5.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed