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Red24
513713.7
58052.5
498415.6
Blue23
265816.3
30089.5
50254.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3534010203040506070802423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4984
#15
15.60.6
15.514.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End6.9
blue by 0.7
2658
#11
16.31.3
17.416.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End4.6
Second
5137
#25
13.70.9
14.413.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End2.3
red by 4.2
3008
#39
9.51.3
9.78.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.4
End4.6
Third
5805
#28
2.50.6
3.22.6
Auto0.6
Teleop1.0
End0.9
blue by 2.3
5025
#41
4.80.9
4.83.9
Auto2.6
Teleop0.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed