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Red45
889110.1
162212.6
528511.3
Blue32
741511.9
374914.7
800611.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304201020506070804532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#43
12.60.7
9.910.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End6.0
blue by 2.2
3749
#45
14.70.6
15.314.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End6.0
Second
5285
#29
11.30.7
11.011.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.2
End3.5
blue by 0.6
7415
#35
11.90.6
12.511.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End2.6
Third
8891
#17
10.11.1
9.110.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End3.9
blue by 1.0
8006
#21
11.20.4
10.410.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed