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Red40
441917.6
265816.3
12668.7
Blue20
41143.3
298414.8
9684.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48260102030406070804020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.60.2
17.517.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End6.2
red by 2.7
2984
#22
14.81.9
16.414.5
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End3.1
Second
2658
#11
16.30.2
16.015.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End4.6
red by 11.9
968
#50
4.51.3
5.84.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Third
1266
#36
8.70.2
9.08.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End2.3
red by 5.4
4114
#38
3.32.0
5.33.3
Auto-0.8
Teleop0.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed