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Red29
756514.8
696218.3
476513.8
Blue90
550719.4
64924.4
87938.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51553040607080902990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.30.4
18.918.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End7.7
blue by 6.0
649
#7
24.40.7
24.124.8
Auto8.7
Teleop11.2
End4.5
Second
7565
#11
14.80.4
15.414.9
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End7.8
blue by 4.6
5507
#16
19.40.7
19.119.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End4.4
Third
4765
#14
13.80.4
14.413.9
Auto5.5
Teleop2.4
End6.0
red by 5.8
8793
#28
8.10.7
7.88.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End2.3