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Red0
67023.6
255127.0
81594.4
Blue39
49737.4
756314.8
19910.6
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59310204080100039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#5DQ
27.00.2
26.026.2
Auto7.5
Teleop7.8
End11.7
red by 12.3
14.80.0
14.614.6
Auto6.4
Teleop3.7
End4.7
Second
670
#8DQ
23.60.2
22.522.7
Auto6.8
Teleop9.6
End7.2
red by 13.0
199
#19
10.60.0
10.510.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End0.4
Third
8159
#34DQ
4.40.2
3.43.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End1.4
blue by 3.0
4973
#10
7.40.0
7.37.3
Auto1.5
Teleop2.2
End3.7