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Red38
49737.4
2539.9
415910.2
Blue69
97133.0
54305.9
756514.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33490204060801003869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4159
#38
10.20.8
12.211.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End2.9
blue by 22.8
971
#3
33.02.8
20.923.7
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Second
253
#32
9.90.8
11.310.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End2.4
blue by 4.9
7565
#11
14.82.8
11.714.5
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End7.8
Third
4973
#10
7.40.8
9.28.5
Auto1.5
Teleop2.2
End3.7
red by 1.6
5430
#37
5.92.8
11.113.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsEarned