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Red79
418611.3
60437.1
397030.1
Blue23
641814.8
623815.4
247312.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553402040801001207923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#1
37.13.3
21.324.6
Auto10.0
Teleop18.9
End8.1
red by 21.7
6238
#20
15.41.2
9.07.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End6.5
Second
30.13.3
15.418.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.7
End7.2
red by 15.3
6418
#15
14.81.2
12.411.2
Auto5.7
Teleop5.0
End4.0
Third
4186
#36
11.33.3
12.515.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End1.9
blue by 0.9
2473
#17
12.31.2
12.811.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned30%Hangar oddsMissed