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Red33
10011.8
67023.6
88529.5
Blue36
418611.3
72457.3
756314.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242203050603336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#8
23.60.7
22.021.3
Auto6.8
Teleop9.6
End7.2
red by 8.8
14.80.5
14.814.4
Auto6.4
Teleop3.7
End4.7
Second
100
#12
11.80.7
10.69.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End5.2
red by 0.5
4186
#36
11.30.5
12.612.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End1.9
Third
8852
#24
9.50.7
6.45.7
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End4.4
red by 2.2
7245
#26
7.30.5
12.712.2
Auto1.1
Teleop4.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsMissed