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Red29
623815.4
2539.9
54305.9
Blue32
804513.0
550719.4
81594.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3130102040502932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6238
#20
15.40.0
10.110.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End6.5
blue by 4.0
5507
#16
19.40.4
16.216.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End4.4
Second
253
#32
9.90.0
10.310.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End2.4
blue by 3.1
8045
#23
13.00.4
11.111.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End6.0
Third
5430
#37
5.90.0
8.98.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.1
End1.7
red by 1.4
8159
#34
4.40.2
1.31.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed