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Red37
550719.4
88406.0
641814.8
Blue55
81594.4
8419.0
97133.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43371020305060703755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5507
#16
19.40.3
16.616.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End4.4
blue by 13.6
971
#3
33.01.7
29.331.0
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Second
6418
#15
14.80.3
14.414.1
Auto5.7
Teleop5.0
End4.0
red by 5.8
841
#35
9.01.7
4.86.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End2.1
Third
8840
#39
6.00.3
8.38.1
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.7
red by 1.6
8159
#34
4.41.0
1.52.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed