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Red64
623815.4
60437.1
72457.3
Blue51
255127.0
54305.9
476513.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57452040801006451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#1
37.11.4
32.133.4
Auto10.0
Teleop18.9
End8.1
red by 10.1
27.00.3
24.424.8
Auto7.5
Teleop7.8
End11.7
Second
6238
#20
15.41.4
10.011.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End6.5
red by 1.6
4765
#14
13.80.3
10.611.0
Auto5.5
Teleop2.4
End6.0
Third
7245
#26
7.31.3
9.710.9
Auto1.1
Teleop4.8
End1.4
red by 1.4
5430
#37
5.90.3
8.99.2
Auto3.0
Teleop1.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsEarned