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Red49
550719.4
756314.8
84012.7
Blue39
88406.0
756514.8
696218.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494202060801004939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5507
#16
19.40.4
17.718.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End4.4
red by 1.1
18.30.1
16.216.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End7.7
Second
14.80.4
14.114.5
Auto6.4
Teleop3.7
End4.7
blue by 0.1
7565
#11
14.80.1
17.317.1
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End7.8
Third
840
#25
12.70.4
13.013.4
Auto5.9
Teleop2.8
End4.0
red by 6.7
8840
#39
6.00.1
7.06.8
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed59%Hangar oddsMissed