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Red50
46697.7
641814.8
10011.8
Blue33
87938.1
570014.2
415910.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393402060805033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#15
14.80.2
15.615.8
Auto5.7
Teleop5.0
End4.0
red by 0.5
5700
#21
14.20.3
14.914.6
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Second
100
#12
11.80.2
11.711.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End5.2
red by 1.6
4159
#38
10.20.3
9.08.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End2.9
Third
4669
#22
7.70.2
8.68.8
Auto2.4
Teleop1.2
End4.1
blue by 0.3
8793
#28
8.10.3
8.38.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed