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Red55
255127.0
756314.8
570014.2
Blue42
641814.8
418611.3
415910.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6436020801005542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.1
27.327.2
Auto7.5
Teleop7.8
End11.7
red by 12.2
6418
#15
14.80.7
15.815.1
Auto5.7
Teleop5.0
End4.0
Second
14.80.1
14.514.4
Auto6.4
Teleop3.7
End4.7
red by 3.4
4186
#36
11.30.7
13.212.5
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End1.9
Third
5700
#21
14.20.1
14.614.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End1.6
red by 4.0
4159
#38
10.20.7
8.68.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed