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Red10
68220.3
87938.1
804513.0
Blue22
46697.7
54305.9
87519.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28250204060801001022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8045
#23
13.01.8
14.012.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End6.0
red by 3.6
8751
#31
9.51.2
8.67.3
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Second
8793
#28
8.11.8
8.06.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End2.3
red by 0.3
4669
#22
7.71.2
8.87.6
Auto2.4
Teleop1.2
End4.1
Third
6822
#41
0.31.8
4.12.4
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End-1.9
blue by 5.5
5430
#37
5.91.2
6.55.2
Auto3.0
Teleop1.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed