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Red0
84632.5
60437.1
88529.5
Blue72
550719.4
64924.4
87938.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9250020406080100120140072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#1DQ
37.10.3
37.637.9
Auto10.0
Teleop18.9
End8.1
red by 12.7
649
#7
24.40.3
24.624.8
Auto8.7
Teleop11.2
End4.5
Second
846
#2DQ
32.50.3
33.033.3
Auto11.1
Teleop11.4
End9.9
red by 13.1
5507
#16
19.40.3
19.619.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End4.4
Third
8852
#24DQ
9.50.3
10.010.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End4.4
red by 1.4
8793
#28
8.10.3
8.28.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End2.3