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Red167
167870.7
25467.7
741921.9
Blue49
741515.0
348214.4
135125.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19937010015025030016749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.70.1
72.672.5
Auto14.3
Teleop43.2
End13.3
red by 45.6
1351
#19
25.10.1
25.225.1
Auto10.8
Teleop9.9
End4.4
Second
254
#1
67.70.1
69.569.5
Auto15.6
Teleop37.5
End14.6
red by 52.6
7415
#18
15.00.1
15.215.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End4.7
Third
7419
#15
21.90.1
23.723.7
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End8.0
red by 7.5
3482
#13
14.40.2
14.614.4
Auto5.6
Teleop5.3
End3.5