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Red26
19210.4
70118.6
203513.5
Blue43
75116.5
466910.6
196717.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4040203050602643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#32
18.61.1
20.419.3
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End2.2
red by 0.8
1967
#23
17.90.1
16.516.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.5
End4.3
Second
2035
#58
13.51.1
11.410.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End4.4
blue by 3.0
751
#35
16.50.1
14.014.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End4.7
Third
192
#20
10.41.0
5.14.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End2.5
blue by 0.2
4669
#36
10.60.1
7.77.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsMissed