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Red45
58112.5
214414.7
84114.3
Blue38
19210.4
29913.7
49049.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282710203040504538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2144
#47
14.72.2
7.59.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End2.1
red by 0.9
299
#33
13.70.8
12.213.0
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End4.4
Second
841
#28
14.31.3
9.010.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End2.1
red by 4.0
192
#20
10.40.8
4.14.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End2.5
Third
581
#41
12.52.2
9.011.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End3.7
red by 3.0
4904
#27
9.40.8
9.710.5
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed