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Red31
248915.8
214414.7
84013.4
Blue32
30456.3
425529.0
41597.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33510204060801003132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2489
#38
15.80.3
11.110.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End3.8
blue by 13.2
29.01.2
27.826.6
Auto10.9
Teleop11.6
End6.5
Second
2144
#47
14.70.3
9.79.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End2.1
red by 6.8
4159
#59
7.81.2
8.77.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End2.3
Third
840
#48
13.40.2
12.812.6
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End6.1
red by 7.1
3045
#56
6.31.2
9.28.0
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsMissed