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Red57
67031.0
64932.8
49737.1
Blue60
29913.7
803329.8
75116.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63552040801005760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#9
32.80.1
27.027.0
Auto10.3
Teleop15.0
End7.5
red by 3.0
8033
#11
29.80.5
25.626.1
Auto8.1
Teleop19.9
End1.8
Second
670
#16
31.00.1
23.923.8
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End7.8
red by 14.5
751
#35
16.50.5
13.714.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End4.7
Third
4973
#55
7.10.1
7.27.1
Auto0.3
Teleop5.5
End1.3
blue by 6.7
299
#33
13.70.5
13.013.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsEarned66%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsMissed