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Red16
30456.3
41716.1
6689.9
Blue89
19210.4
67031.0
545816.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224904060801001689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
#40
9.90.5
10.810.2
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 21.1
670
#16
31.02.6
23.826.4
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End7.8
Second
3045
#56
6.30.5
8.07.5
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End2.4
blue by 10.2
5458
#24
16.62.6
12.915.5
Auto6.6
Teleop4.9
End5.1
Third
4171
#50
6.10.5
5.34.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.2
blue by 4.2
192
#20
10.42.6
5.98.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsEarned